Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
49
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 0
DHA
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 2
DHA
25%
27%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DHA
3 - 0
DPR
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 2
DHA
21%
26%
53%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
SPB
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
SLP
35%
29%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
IND
22%
28%
51%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
DPR
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 1
IND
30%
29%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |