Douglas Haig vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
DHA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
DHA
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
DHA
0 - 0
BRO
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
DHA
4 - 0
IRV
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
DHA
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 2
PAR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GIM
4 - 2
GBR
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GBR
0 - 1
ALM
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
AND
1 - 3
GBR
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 1
CDN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |