Copa Argentina 1/64
Global 4-2
Douglas Haig vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DPR
1 - 2
DHA
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
DFR
1 - 1
DHA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DHA
0 - 0
DFR
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 1
DHA
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
DHA
2 - 2
SLP
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DPR
1 - 2
DHA
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 3
DPR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DPR
1 - 2
GIM
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 1
DHA
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
DPR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |