Dornbreite Lübeck vs Bordesholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
12º
21
3º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOD
4 - 0
DOR
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
ITK
22%
20%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 1
DOR
60%
19%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 5
EIC
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bordesholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 3
WEF
44%
21%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
3 - 1
BOR
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
4 - 1
HOH
58%
19%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VFR
4 - 2
BOR
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
3 - 2
OLD
47%
21%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |