Dorense vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
DOR
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 4
DOR
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
LAG
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
BOC
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
CON
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 3
BOC
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 3
ITA
26%
27%
48%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
BOC
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |