Dorados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
14º
10º
9
10º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
4 - 1
CFC
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
4 - 0
CAP
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
TAM
4 - 3
DOR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
DOR
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 0
TIA
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 2
TEM
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
ALE
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 5
TOR
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TIA
2 - 1
ALE
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 2
UDG
24%
27%
48%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |