Donegal Celtic vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
CLI
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
POR
5 - 2
DON
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
DON
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DON
0 - 1
COL
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
DON
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 1
LIS
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 3
LIS
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 2
POR
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |