Domagnano vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DOM
2 - 1
SGI
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 3
DOM
28%
24%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DOM
4 - 0
PEN
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAE
1 - 0
DOM
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
12%
23%
65%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 3
TPE
7%
16%
77%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 3
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 4
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |