Domžale vs NK Rogaška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
8º
6º
36
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 2
DOM
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 2
NSM
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 1
ALU
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RAD
3 - 1
DOM
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 2
FCK
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
ROG
12%
17%
70%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ROG
0 - 2
OLI
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
2 - 0
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
0 - 2
NSM
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 2
ROG
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |