Dodoma vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
9º
16º
9º
35
2º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dodoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
IFC
2 - 0
DJF
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIM
3 - 0
DJF
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 0
GGF
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 0
DJF
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SBS
0 - 0
DJF
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
MTI
1 - 0
SBS
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KMC
2 - 1
MTI
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MTI
0 - 0
TAN
44%
30%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 2
MBE
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
YOU
3 - 0
MTI
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |