Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
16º
16º
52
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 69 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
98% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
86% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 45 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
41% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
40% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 26 |
14º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 18 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 1
DNP
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DNP
0 - 3
NAF
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
DNP
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DNP
2 - 1
FCS
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 0
DNP
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Zhodino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
DIN
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 3
TOR
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
GOM
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
TOR
25%
29%
47%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
MIN
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |