Premier League round 26

Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino analysis

Dnepr Mogilev Torpedo Zhodino
64 ELO 76
0.3% Tilt 14%
1815º General ELO ranking 637º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.5%
Dnepr Mogilev
28.7%
Draw
43.9%
Torpedo Zhodino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
Dnepr Mogilev
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.9%
Win probability
Torpedo Zhodino
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dnepr Mogilev
-27%
+12%
Torpedo Zhodino

Points and table prediction

Dnepr Mogilev
Their league position
Torpedo Zhodino
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
16º
16º
59
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Minsk
67
70
100%
Neman Grodno
62
65
100%
Torpedo Zhodino
59
60
100%
Dinamo Brest
48
51
85%
Vitebsk
47
48
71%
Gomel
44
45
86%
Slutsk
39
42
71%
BATE Borisov
37
40
31%
Isloch
38
39
35.5%
Slavia Mozyr
10º
35
36
10º
52.5%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
11º
35
36
11º
62%
FK Smorgon
12º
29
30
12º
80%
Minsk
13º
28
28
13º
80.5%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
16º
2
25
14º
41.5%
Naftan Novopolotsk
14º
23
23
15º
41.5%
Dnepr Mogilev
15º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Slavia Mozyr
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dnepr Mogilev
Dnepr Mogilev
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2024
GOM
Gomel
1 - 1
Dnepr Mogilev
DNP
67%
20%
14%
63 76 13 0
06 Oct. 2024
DNP
Dnepr Mogilev
0 - 3
Naftan Novopolotsk
NAF
46%
25%
29%
64 61 3 -1
29 Sep. 2024
MIN
Minsk
2 - 2
Dnepr Mogilev
DNP
42%
26%
33%
63 66 3 +1
22 Sep. 2024
DNP
Dnepr Mogilev
2 - 1
FK Smorgon
FCS
44%
25%
31%
63 61 2 0
16 Sep. 2024
DNM
Dinamo Minsk
2 - 0
Dnepr Mogilev
DNP
65%
21%
14%
63 76 13 0

Matches

Torpedo Zhodino
Torpedo Zhodino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2024
TOR
Torpedo Zhodino
3 - 1
Dinamo Brest
DIN
38%
26%
36%
76 76 0 0
12 Oct. 2024
FAK
Fakel
1 - 3
Torpedo Zhodino
TOR
21%
26%
53%
76 64 12 0
05 Oct. 2024
TOR
Torpedo Zhodino
2 - 2
Gomel
GOM
40%
27%
33%
76 76 0 0
29 Sep. 2024
NAF
Naftan Novopolotsk
1 - 1
Torpedo Zhodino
TOR
25%
29%
47%
76 60 16 0
20 Sep. 2024
TOR
Torpedo Zhodino
2 - 2
Minsk
MIN
61%
24%
16%
76 66 10 0