Apertura Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Diriangén vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
DIR
50%
23%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
DEP
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 6
DIR
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 12 | 56 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
JAP
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
DIR
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
DIR
50%
23%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 5
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAL
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 3
MFC
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |