Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Dinamo Zagreb vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 2
DZG
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
DZG
0 - 0
ARG
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
ARG
0 - 1
DZG
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
DZG
2 - 0
DUN
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
DUN
4 - 2
DZG
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
BOL
2 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 2
DZG
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
CAG
0 - 0
JUV
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |