Dinamo Brest vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
8º
4º
29
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
86% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
71% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
62% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
80% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 25 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Brest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
DIN
4 - 0
FCN
55%
20%
25%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 1
DIN
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 4
DIN
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
FCN
54%
20%
26%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 1
NEM
22%
22%
57%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
MOL
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DNM
5 - 0
FCS
75%
17%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MOL
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 1
FCS
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
LID
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |