Desportivo de Nacala vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
DES
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DES
3 - 2
TEX
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BTF
1 - 2
DES
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TEX
1 - 1
DES
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
DES
3 - 1
FCC
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
HCB
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
COS
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COS
2 - 3
BBM
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FEN
3 - 4
COS
29%
30%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
HCB
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |