Desportivo Aves vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
AVE
4 - 2
ACV
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TON
1 - 2
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPC
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVE
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOR
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAÇ
2 - 4
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAÇ
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PAÇ
0 - 5
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |