Derthona vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
COM
7%
18%
76%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
DER
75%
16%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
FOL
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
DER
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
VAR
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
OLG
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARC
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
ARC
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |