Dersim Spor vs Gençlerbirliği SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
76.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gençlerbirliği SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
GEN
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ESK
4 - 2
GEN
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
ORD
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AKB
0 - 0
GEN
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 1
ANT
54%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +3 |