First Division round 1

Derry City vs Cork City analysis

Derry City Cork City
73 ELO 73
-9.6% Tilt -12.2%
609º General ELO ranking 1762º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
42.8%
Derry City
27.3%
Draw
29.8%
Cork City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
Derry City
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.8%
Win probability
Cork City
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Derry City
+12%
+11%
Cork City

ELO progression

Derry City
Cork City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derry City
Derry City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2009
DUN
Dundalk
1 - 2
Derry City
DER
36%
29%
36%
74 63 11 0
30 Oct. 2009
DER
Derry City
3 - 0
Bray Wanderers
BRW
70%
20%
11%
74 54 20 0
23 Oct. 2009
STP
St Patrick's
0 - 2
Derry City
DER
36%
29%
35%
73 65 8 +1
20 Oct. 2009
DER
Derry City
1 - 2
Sligo Rovers
SLR
52%
26%
22%
73 68 5 0
16 Oct. 2009
GAL
Galway United
3 - 1
Derry City
DER
31%
29%
40%
74 61 13 -1

Matches

Cork City
Cork City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2009
GAL
Galway United
2 - 2
Cork City
CAO
27%
27%
46%
74 61 13 0
30 Oct. 2009
CAO
Cork City
2 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
50%
27%
23%
74 64 10 0
23 Oct. 2009
CAO
Cork City
0 - 0
Drogheda United
DRO
51%
28%
21%
74 67 7 0
20 Oct. 2009
SHR
Shamrock Rovers
1 - 2
Cork City
CAO
45%
27%
29%
74 75 1 0
16 Oct. 2009
CAO
Cork City
0 - 2
Bohemian FC
BOH
38%
30%
32%
74 77 3 0