Derby County U18 vs Sunderland U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 3
DER
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DER
3 - 5
MCI
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
EVE
3 - 2
DER
25%
20%
54%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LEE
0 - 6
DER
23%
19%
58%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DER
3 - 1
MID
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 3
EVE
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 3
SUN
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 0
WOL
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LIV
4 - 2
SUN
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 4
MAN
9%
15%
77%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |