Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
CRY
2 - 1
DER
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
DER
3 - 3
SUN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1991 |
DER
0 - 0
NOR
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1991 |
ASV
3 - 2
DER
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1991 |
SHE
1 - 0
DER
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
MAC
0 - 3
LIV
20%
24%
57%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
LIV
0 - 1
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
31%
26%
43%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1991 |
LUT
3 - 1
LIV
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |