Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
MID
3 - 1
DER
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1978 |
DER
2 - 3
WBA
65%
20%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
MUD
4 - 0
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
DER
0 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
CHL
3 - 1
LIV
31%
30%
39%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 2
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 1
MUD
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1978 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
42%
29%
29%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |