Derby County vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
ASV
2 - 1
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
DER
1 - 3
BRO
75%
16%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2002 |
DER
0 - 1
FUL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
BBU
0 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
WHU
4 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
IPS
2 - 1
TOT
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
DAG
1 - 4
IPS
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
CHA
3 - 2
IPS
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
IPS
5 - 0
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
IPS
2 - 0
LEI
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |