Derby County vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1980 |
LEE
1 - 0
DER
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
EVE
1 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1979 |
DER
1 - 2
COV
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1979 |
DER
1 - 3
LIV
22%
28%
50%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 0
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1980 |
CRY
0 - 0
NOR
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
CRY
1 - 2
MID
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1979 |
BHA
3 - 0
CRY
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
LIV
3 - 0
CRY
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
CRY
1 - 0
NTT
25%
29%
46%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |