Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
9º
4º
31
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
WAL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
UNA
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDS
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
MFC
13%
19%
68%
|
55 | 6 | 49 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
MFC
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |