Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SAB
1 - 2
WAL
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
5 - 1
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
WAL
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
WAL
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 3
DIR
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 2
MAN
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 0
SAB
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAN
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 0
REA
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |