Venezuela Finals Final
Global 1-1
Deportivo Táchira vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TAC
4 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
ZAM
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 4
TAC
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 1
DRZ
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DRZ
1 - 2
TAC
32%
26%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TAC
4 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
EST
0 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |