Dep. Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
5º
2º
12
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
RSA
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
DCM
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 2
RSA
46%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
GUT
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
KIM
60%
25%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
VIL
18%
29%
53%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KIM
0 - 0
OLI
13%
24%
63%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CSS
3 - 2
KIM
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |