Dep. Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
5º
2º
12
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
RSA
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
DCM
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 2
RSA
46%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
GUT
40%
30%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CIB
1 - 0
KIM
60%
25%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
VIL
18%
29%
53%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KIM
0 - 0
OLI
13%
24%
63%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CSS
3 - 2
KIM
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |