Dep. Santamarina vs Cipolletti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
10º
4º
15
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 36 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 34 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 22 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 19 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
43% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
KIM
65%
23%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
2 - 0
RSA
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSA
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CIP
2 - 1
CDC
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
CIP
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CIP
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CIP
0 - 0
OLI
14%
25%
62%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
KIM
2 - 0
CIP
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |