Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
12º
11º
1
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 39 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 38 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 33 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 31 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 31 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 30 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 30 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 27 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 27 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 26 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 24 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 22 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
LIB
5 - 2
CDR
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
CDR
0 - 2
2DE
41%
27%
31%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
JLM
2 - 2
CDR
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 1
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TEM
0 - 0
CDR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
2DE
0 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |