Dep. Quito vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 1
UCE
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 1
QUI
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 1
CUE
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 0
EME
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 1
QUI
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 1
IVT
27%
29%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CUE
3 - 2
MUS
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 0
QUI
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |