Primera Nacional Playoffs Ascenso Last 16

Dep. Maipú vs San Martín San Juan analysis

Dep. Maipú San Martín San Juan
72 ELO 69
-4.5% Tilt -16.4%
795º General ELO ranking 520º
42º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
49.6%
Dep. Maipú
26.3%
Draw
24%
San Martín San Juan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
Dep. Maipú
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24%
Win probability
San Martín San Juan
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dep. Maipú
-7%
+16%
San Martín San Juan

ELO progression

Dep. Maipú
San Martín San Juan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dep. Maipú
Dep. Maipú
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
MAI
Dep. Maipú
0 - 1
Indep. Rivadavia
IRV
41%
27%
32%
72 74 2 0
08 Oct. 2023
ALD
Aldosivi
1 - 1
Dep. Maipú
MAI
38%
29%
34%
72 65 7 0
02 Oct. 2023
DAL
Villa Dálmine
2 - 3
Dep. Maipú
MAI
18%
28%
54%
71 53 18 +1
25 Sep. 2023
MAI
Dep. Maipú
0 - 0
Deportivo Madryn
DEP
58%
24%
18%
71 65 6 0
17 Sep. 2023
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
2 - 0
Dep. Maipú
MAI
41%
29%
31%
72 66 6 -1

Matches

San Martín San Juan
San Martín San Juan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2023
FLA
Flandria
1 - 1
San Martín San Juan
SMA
22%
26%
52%
69 55 14 0
10 Oct. 2023
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 0
San Martín San Juan
SMA
67%
21%
12%
70 85 15 -1
30 Sep. 2023
SMA
San Martín San Juan
3 - 2
Def. Unidos
CAD
67%
21%
12%
69 61 8 +1
24 Sep. 2023
GBR
Guillermo Brown
1 - 0
San Martín San Juan
SMA
24%
28%
48%
69 60 9 0
20 Sep. 2023
ALM
Almagro
0 - 3
San Martín San Juan
SMA
30%
30%
40%
68 63 5 +1