Primera División Venezolana Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Deportivo Lara vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
LLA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
LAR
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
LAR
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
ANZ
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
MIN
55%
25%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
DEP
16%
26%
59%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
5 - 1
URE
71%
20%
9%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
DEP
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |