La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
ZUL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
37%
25%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 1
DEP
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EST
2 - 0
LAL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
18%
23%
60%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 6
EST
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |