UD Móstoles Balompié vs Orcasitas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Móstoles Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
MBP
33%
21%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MBP
1 - 3
FPG
74%
15%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MBP
3 - 0
LUL
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
3 - 2
MBP
37%
21%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MBP
1 - 0
CFM
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orcasitas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 4
LEG
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CFM
5 - 0
ORC
71%
17%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ORC
0 - 2
BET
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GRI
3 - 0
ORC
74%
15%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 1
AVA
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |