Dep. Español vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 2
COL
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 2
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
JJU
2 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 2
CAD
23%
27%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SUA
2 - 2
ATL
30%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
SUA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
SMG
0 - 0
SUA
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 1
TAL
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
JJU
2 - 0
SUA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |