Dep. Español vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DOC
1 - 3
ESP
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
58%
26%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
ESP
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
TAL
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
JJU
1 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LAM
0 - 0
ARM
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 0
DOC
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
ARM
45%
28%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 0
ITU
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
TAL
1 - 0
ARM
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |