Sportivo Carapeguá vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
44.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RÑU
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
LQE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
UCH
1 - 1
LIB
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
UCH
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |