Deportes Tolima vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOL
32%
29%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
ENV
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
AME
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
JUN
3 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
JUN
44%
29%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
JUN
0 - 0
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 0
JUN
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |