Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
EQU
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 0
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
HUI
3 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
SFE
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 3
TOL
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
TFC
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
QUI
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 2
PER
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PER
4 - 0
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 0
PER
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |