Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 2-3
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAS
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 2
BUC
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |