Denzlingen vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
DEN
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
DEN
3 - 3
AST
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
KIR
1 - 0
DEN
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DEN
0 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 0
DEN
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
ILL
0 - 0
HOF
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
ASV
1 - 2
ILL
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ILL
1 - 1
STU
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
WEI
2 - 3
ILL
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
ILL
34%
24%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |