Dénia vs Huracán Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HOS
1 - 0
DEN
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 2
TER
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LLE
3 - 2
DEN
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
REU
1 - 0
DEN
32%
28%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DEN
3 - 0
ZAR
61%
24%
15%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Huracán Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 1
REU
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 0
HUR
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 0
BAD
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MLL
0 - 1
HUR
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 0
OLI
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |