FCV Dender vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
14º
14º
12
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 57 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 53 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 49 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 49 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 46 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 37 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 37 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 35 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 34 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 28 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 19 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 4% |
|
Next round
|
50.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47% | 43% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEE
1 - 2
DEN
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
BRU
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 1
KVK
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 2
DEN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 0
SDL
47%
23%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 0
BEE
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 0
SDL
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SDL
0 - 0
KVM
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 0
BRU
25%
25%
51%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |