FCV Dender vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
DEN
2 - 0
EEA
48%
23%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RWD
2 - 0
DEN
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DEN
1 - 1
KSK
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
DEI
2 - 2
DEN
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DEN
2 - 0
DES
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 1
RUP
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
KVT
0 - 0
HEI
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 0
OUD
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
EEA
1 - 2
HEI
68%
19%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
HEI
2 - 3
RWD
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |