Denbigh Town vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
DEN
60%
19%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AIR
7 - 0
DEN
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
LLW
3 - 1
DEN
10%
13%
77%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 2
CPD
59%
20%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
FLI
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
RTW
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
2 - 3
CAE
21%
19%
61%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
HOL
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 0
LLA
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |