Democrata GV vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 0
UBE
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TOM
3 - 1
DEM
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
DEM
0 - 2
CRZ
9%
21%
70%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
URT
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
TUP
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |