AFC Cup Grupo D round 1

Odisha FC vs Mohun Bagan SG analysis

Odisha FC Mohun Bagan SG
57 ELO 64
27.8% Tilt 13.3%
1482º General ELO ranking 1471º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.3%
Odisha FC
22.7%
Draw
33%
Mohun Bagan SG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
Odisha FC
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33%
Win probability
Mohun Bagan SG
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Odisha FC
-1%
+12%
Mohun Bagan SG

ELO progression

Odisha FC
Mohun Bagan SG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Odisha FC
Odisha FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2023
BEN
Bengaluru
1 - 2
Odisha FC
DEL
59%
21%
19%
57 67 10 0
22 Apr. 2023
DEL
Odisha FC
3 - 1
NorthEast United
NOR
76%
14%
10%
57 48 9 0
17 Apr. 2023
HYD
Hyderabad FC
1 - 2
Odisha FC
DEL
69%
18%
14%
56 67 11 +1
13 Apr. 2023
AIZ
Aizawl
0 - 3
Odisha FC
DEL
14%
20%
66%
55 45 10 +1
09 Apr. 2023
DEL
Odisha FC
1 - 1
East Bengal Club
EAS
74%
15%
11%
55 48 7 0

Matches

Mohun Bagan SG
Mohun Bagan SG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
2 - 2
Mohammedan SC
MOH
78%
16%
6%
63 44 19 0
20 Aug. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
0 - 2
Southern Samity
SOU
84%
13%
4%
63 23 40 0
05 Aug. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
2 - 0
United SC
USC
80%
15%
6%
64 16 48 -1
28 Jul. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
4 - 1
Calcutta
CCF
79%
15%
6%
64 6 58 0
26 Jul. 2023
MBS
Mohun Bagan SG
1 - 1
Kalighat Milan Sangha
KMS
82%
14%
5%
64 31 33 0