Primera A 1 Phase Fase 1 round 12

Delfín vs Orense analysis

Delfín Orense
79 ELO 77
-10.5% Tilt 2.6%
444º General ELO ranking 518º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Delfín
26.8%
Draw
22.6%
Orense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
Delfín
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.6%
Win probability
Orense
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Delfín
-11%
-1%
Orense

Points and table prediction

Delfín
Their league position
Orense
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
16º
15º
15
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Independiente del Valle
35
35
100%
Barcelona SC
31
31
100%
Liga de Quito
30
30
100%
Aucas
29
29
100%
Universidad Católica
25
25
0%
CS Emelec
25
25
0%
CD El Nacional
24
24
100%
Macará
18
18
0%
Mushuc Runa
18
18
0%
Deportivo Cuenca
10º
16
16
10º
100%
Técnico Universitario
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Orense
12º
15
15
12º
100%
Cumbayá
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Imbabura
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Delfín
15º
9
9
15º
100%
Libertad FC
16º
4
8
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Delfín
Orense
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Delfín
Orense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Delfín
Delfín
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2024
BEL
Belgrano
1 - 1
Delfín
DEL
54%
23%
23%
79 83 4 0
05 May. 2024
DEL
Delfín
1 - 3
Barcelona SC
BSC
41%
27%
32%
79 79 0 0
30 Apr. 2024
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 0
Delfín
DEL
49%
24%
28%
79 79 0 0
26 Apr. 2024
DEL
Delfín
1 - 2
Internacional
SCI
27%
29%
45%
79 88 9 0
19 Apr. 2024
DEL
Delfín
1 - 1
Macará
MAC
45%
27%
28%
79 77 2 0

Matches

Orense
Orense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
ORE
Orense
0 - 1
CD El Nacional
NAC
36%
27%
37%
76 79 3 0
27 Apr. 2024
CAL
Libertad FC
1 - 1
Orense
ORE
35%
30%
35%
76 68 8 0
19 Apr. 2024
ORE
Orense
1 - 0
Liga de Quito
LIG
37%
27%
35%
75 79 4 +1
13 Apr. 2024
MAC
Macará
0 - 0
Orense
ORE
46%
27%
26%
75 76 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
ORE
Orense
2 - 2
Mushuc Runa
MUS
46%
26%
28%
75 74 1 0