Federal A Transición Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-1
Defensores Belgrano VR vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 0
DFR
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 1
DFR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
DFR
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DFR
3 - 0
AGR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 0
DFR
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
MAI
0 - 1
GAF
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 2
MAI
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DPR
3 - 0
GAF
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -3 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |